Monday Evening Soccer Betting Picks & Predictions for Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Baltimore Ravens put their four-game successful streak on the road once they head south to face the Buccaneers.
These groups have lots in widespread.
They’ve similar information at 4-2 and common virtually 30 factors per sport. It’s no shock now we have a complete that’s as excessive as 50 at some sportsbooks.
Nonetheless, if one thing appears too simple, then it in all probability is. I’ll share why a first-half play on the Ravens provides one of the best worth on this matchup.
Watch out for the backdoor cowl
We’ve seen some motion on the full-game line with Tampa Bay as 3.5-point underdogs after opening at +5.5.
That transfer is especially fascinating as a result of the damage report does not imply something alarming for the Ravens.
It’s fully doable that the bookmakers merely despatched out a awful opening quantity for the sport.
Nonetheless, the road was in all probability a bit steep provided that these groups are of the same caliber, which raises the query of why the Ravens would lay such a quantity on the highway on this spot.
In spite of everything, the Buccaneers have spectacular victories over the Commanders, Lions and Eagles—three groups with a mixed report of 14-5.
The road transfer does inform us that the Ravens can typically be responsible of taking part in with their meals.
In different phrases, they don’t at all times put their opponents away convincingly to kill off a sport and repel any comeback threats.
For years, it’s been the Ravens’ protection that’s carried the staff. Now we’re seeing the entrance workplace spend extra of its sources on offense to enhance their two-time MVP at quarterback, Lamar Jackson.
When Baltimore provides its protection a lead, it will possibly get picked aside. In keeping with FTN Fantasy’s DVOA metric, the Ravens rank 18th within the league in opposition to the go.
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Buccaneers can play from behind
Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield is within the midst of probably the greatest begins of his profession, as he’s tied for the league lead in passing touchdowns with 15 on the season.
Beforehand, Mayfield was extra thought of a sport supervisor, however he’s been capable of come into his personal on this Tampa Bay offense.
Buccaneers head coach Todd Bowles, who has a defensive pedigree, was far more conservative in his first cease as a head coach with the New York Jets.
However now he’s turn out to be far more amenable to letting his quarterback sling the rock because the Buccaneers rank within the league’s high half in go play proportion (57.1%).
There was a transparent shift within the Buccaneers’ method underneath Bowles as a result of he does have a very good run offense. Tampa Bay is considered one of seven groups that common at the least 5 yards per carry.
Nonetheless, stopping the run is one thing the Ravens’ protection does very effectively, because it leads the league within the fewest yards per carry (3.0), speeding makes an attempt allowed (19.5) and yards allowed per sport (59.0).
These numbers communicate to Baltimore’s dominance early in video games as a result of groups typically need to abandon the run when taking part in from behind.
I anticipate the same situation on Monday evening with a Tampa Bay protection that ranks twenty seventh in first-half factors allowed (14.0).
Greatest guess: Ravens 1H -1.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
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